The J M Stock Performance
| SJM Stock | USD 108.53 2.67 2.52% |
J M has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, J M's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding J M is expected to be smaller as well. J M right now retains a risk of 1.42%. Please check out J M potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if J M will be following its current trending patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The J M are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy forward-looking indicators, J M is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.52 | Five Day Return 5.81 | Year To Date Return 12.32 | Ten Year Return (13.82) | All Time Return 6.8 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0416 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 189:200 | Forward Dividend Rate 4.4 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 |
1 | J.M. Smucker price target lowered by 3 at UBS, heres why SJM | 11/26/2025 |
| J M dividend paid on 1st of December 2025 | 12/01/2025 |
2 | Uncrustables Donates 1 Million Sandwiches to Boys Girls Clubs Across the Country | 12/02/2025 |
3 | BofA Sees Steady Earnings Momentum Building at J.M. Smucker | 12/16/2025 |
4 | A Look At J. M. Smuckers Valuation As Recent Weakness Draws Investor Attention | 01/05/2026 |
5 | J. M. Smucker Price Target Lowered to 105.00 at TD Cowen | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Assessing J. M. Smucker Valuation As Shares Trade Near Recent Levels | 01/14/2026 |
7 | J. M. Smucker declares 1.10 dividend | 01/16/2026 |
8 | Morgan Stanley Cuts Smucker Target After Strong Run, Flags Margin Recovery Risk | 01/22/2026 |
9 | The J.M. Smucker Co. to Present at the 2026 Consumer Analyst Group of New York Conference and Sets Date to Report Third Quarter Earnings | 01/28/2026 |
10 | The J. M. Smucker Company SJM Holdings Lowered by Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 62 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -100.3 M |
J M Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 10,599 in The J M on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 254.00 from holding The J M or generate 2.4% return on investment over 90 days. The J M is generating 0.0495% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4239% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than SJM, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
J M Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SJM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 108.53 | 90 days | 108.53 | roughly 2.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of J M to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.83 (This The J M probability density function shows the probability of SJM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
J M Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for J M
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as J M. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.J M Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. J M is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the J M's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The J M, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of J M within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
J M Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of J M for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for J M can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.73 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.23 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.08 B. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The J. M. Smucker Company SJM Holdings Lowered by Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp |
J M Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SJM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential J M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. J M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 69.9 M |
J M Fundamentals Growth
SJM Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of J M, and J M fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SJM Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0452 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.14) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 19.03 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 106.69 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 28.38 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.86 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.29 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.73 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.08 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (155.6 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (1.23 B) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 69.9 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 7.76 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.57 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 56.80 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.21 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (11.23) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 11.29 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 17.56 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 501.8 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (505.4 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 466.66 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 167.27 M | ||||
About J M Performance
By examining J M's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into J M's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that J M is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 95.04 | 95.32 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.20) | (0.19) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.23) | (0.22) |
Things to note about J M performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about J M for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for J M help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.73 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.23 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.08 B. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The J. M. Smucker Company SJM Holdings Lowered by Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp |
- Analyzing J M's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether J M's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining J M's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating J M's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of J M's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of J M's stock. These opinions can provide insight into J M's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The J M. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could SJM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of J M. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every J M data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.36 | Earnings Share (11.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Understanding J M requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects SJM's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what J M's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push J M's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between J M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if J M is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, J M's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.